Just occasionally, those mavericks at Sky Sports come up with the goods, and for once this week the ‘Super Sunday’ billing will not have to be referred to the Trades Description Act.
We’ve got a belter on our hands, and a double-header to boot, as Everton welcome Manchester City and the flipside fixture – Liverpool against Manchester United – kicks off a little later in the afternoon.
A mouth-watering prospect is in store then, and here are the pick of the Premier League betting tips for Sunday.
Everton vs Manchester City (1:30pm)
This is an intriguing way to kick off Super Sunday for a number of reasons. Everton have enjoyed something of a mini renaissance of late, and certainly won’t have given up on a place in the top six of the Premier League – an excellent return that would be in Ronald Koeman’s first season in charge.
And then we have Manchester City, who have faced some big tests so far in their assault on the title….and largely failed the lot.
The 2-1 over Arsenal has galvanised the Toffees; since then they have been unlucky to lose against Liverpool, beaten Leicester and Southampton with considerable ease, and drew with Hull. The shot data suggests they are the seventh best team in the land, and as such we would expect them to give Manchester City a stern test here.
Pep Guardiola’s outfit are the equivalent of a flat track bully: they have won 13/20 this term but failed every one of their gut checks against the big boys, as defeats to Chelsea, Liverpool, Tottenham and, to an obviously lesser extent, Leicester. We’re not putting Everton in the same class as the former trio, but the similarities are there.
It’s a pretty hard game to predict – you could make a case for all three results if you were feeling generous – and so we are going to stick to a common theme: goals. The Toffees have found their mojo in front of goal again, and they have now netted in 16/20 starts and 9/10 at home. City’s calamitous defending lives on – they have conceded in 16/20 this term – and so our two selections are well informed. Their central defensive duo of Nicolas Otamendi and John Stones really struggle to defend against physical frontmen, and in Romelu Lukaku the Merseysiders have one of the best in the country.
Manchester United vs Liverpool (4:00pm)
Wow, they don’t come much bigger than this. The second half of Super Sunday sees Manchester United host bitter rivals Liverpool at Old Trafford, and even if the weather forecast is for cold and ice the Reds fans can expect a rather warm reception from their counterparts in the Stretford End.
The bad news is that we’re expecting a low-scoring encounter. It could burst into life with a moment of magic, a rash tackle or a bad refereeing decision, but we’ve seen countless times in big matches how Jose Mourinho likes to shut proceedings down; his side have failed to score more than a single goal in a game against any of the top six this term. Add into the mix that the last four meetings between these sides have witnessed two or fewer goals, that is our angle of attack here.
Mourinho’s sides over the years have been ‘spoilers’, and even though they have home advantage here don’t expect them to open up and play expansive football. Less will certainly be more under the Portuguese manager’s reign.
And that plays nicely into the hands of handicap punters; Liverpool, surprisingly long to win this match at a general 11/4, offer even greater value in the Asian Handicap markets, with the +0.25 – essentially meaning they need to avoid defeat for profit – an odds-against shout at 43/40. Remember, Joel Matip should return at the heart of the Liverpool defence.
In fiercely contested battles like this we don’t typically see them open up until later in the affair, and so our last selection is the 0-0 scoreline at half-time at 9/4.